|
Local Results for Jacksonville, FL Day 1 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (88°F) Min: (69°F) Wind (10 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 1|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 36
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 29.3 )anders (isu) chrisr (isu) effert (isu) kelley (isu) klewis (isu) levink (isu) rach87 (isu) sedigj (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.0 )billga (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 0 )|
| Biggest Decrease : ( 0 )|
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 1 Forecast
|
Day 1 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
23
0
0
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
87
68
9
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |-6.77-6.77
23
 |
|
23
0
0
 |USL22Zxxx
8
 |
87
68
9
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |-6.77-6.77
23
 |
|
633
0
0
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
89
64
9
0.02
 |
1
5
0.50.8
0
7.3 |
1
5
0.50.8
0
7.3 |-1.26-1.26
633
 |
|
719
0
0
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
89
63
12
0.00
 |
1
6
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
1
6
1.00.0
0
8.0 |-0.46-0.46
719
 |
|
753
0
0
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
86
66
7
0.04
 |
2
3
1.51.6
0
8.1 |
2
3
1.51.6
0
8.1 |-0.34-0.34
753
 |
|
884
0
0
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
85
64
7
0.00
 |
3
5
1.50.0
0
9.5 |
3
5
1.50.0
0
9.5 |1.261.26
884
 |
|
1039
0
0
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
83
65
4
0.00
 |
5
4
3.00.0
0
12.0 |
5
4
3.00.0
0
12.0 |4.134.13
1039
 |
|
1088
0
0
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
85
67
7
0.18
 |
3
2
1.56.4
0
12.9 |
3
2
1.56.4
0
12.9 |5.165.16
1088
 |
|
1228
0
0
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
83
65
4
0.21
 |
5
4
3.07.3
0
19.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
0
19.3 |12.5012.50
1228
 |
|
698
0
0
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
85
67
7
0.03
 |
3
2
1.51.2
0
7.7 |
3
2
1.51.2
0
7.7 |-0.80-0.80
700
 |
|
776
0
0
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
85
67
8
0.06
 |
3
2
1.02.4
0
8.4 |
3
2
1.02.4
0
8.4 |0.000.00
776
 |
|
43
0
0
 |billgaisu
1
 |
88
66
10
0.00
 |
0
3
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
0
3
0.00.0
0
3.0 |-6.19-6.19
43
 |
|
69
0
0
 |mairahisu
3
 |
86
68
9
0.00
 |
2
1
0.50.0
0
3.5 |
2
1
0.50.0
0
3.5 |-5.62-5.62
69
 |
|
104
0
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
88
66
12
0.00
 |
0
3
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
0
3
1.00.0
0
4.0 |-5.05-5.05
104
 |
|
213
0
0
 |bschweisu
3
 |
87
66
8
0.00
 |
1
3
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
1
3
1.00.0
0
5.0 |-3.90-3.90
213
 |
|
296
0
0
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
85
67
9
0.00
 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |-3.33-3.33
296
 |
|
296
0
0
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
85
67
9
0.00
 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |-3.33-3.33
296
 |
|
366
0
0
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
87
66
8
0.02
 |
1
3
1.00.8
0
5.8 |
1
3
1.00.8
0
5.8 |-2.98-2.98
366
 |
|
376
0
0
 |allissisu
4
 |
85
67
8
0.00
 |
3
2
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
3
2
1.00.0
0
6.0 |-2.75-2.75
376
 |
|
376
0
0
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
83
69
8
0.00
 |
5
0
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
5
0
1.00.0
0
6.0 |-2.75-2.75
376
 |
|
376
0
0
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
87
66
6
0.00
 |
1
3
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
1
3
2.00.0
0
6.0 |-2.75-2.75
376
 |
|
376
0
0
 |sciguyisu
3
 |
86
70
8
0.05
 |
2
1
1.02.0
0
6.0 |
2
1
1.02.0
0
6.0 |-2.75-2.75
376
 |
|
477
0
0
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
84
68
7
0.00
 |
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |-2.18-2.18
477
 |
|
477
0
0
 |pattonisu
2
 |
88
64
7
0.00
 |
0
5
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
0
5
1.50.0
0
6.5 |-2.18-2.18
477
 |
|
648
0
0
 |exa986isu
3
 |
83
67
9
0.00
 |
5
2
0.50.0
0
7.5 |
5
2
0.50.0
0
7.5 |-1.03-1.03
648
 |
|
648
0
0
 |mphoffisu
3
 |
83
71
9
0.00
 |
5
2
0.50.0
0
7.5 |
5
2
0.50.0
0
7.5 |-1.03-1.03
648
 |
|
648
0
0
 |schaffisu
2
 |
83
68
7
0.00
 |
5
1
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
5
1
1.50.0
0
7.5 |-1.03-1.03
648
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
719
0
0
 |jsch78isu
3
 |
85
65
12
0.00
 |
3
4
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
3
4
1.00.0
0
8.0 |-0.46-0.46
719
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
833
0
0
 |logankisu
3
 |
83
69
6
0.05
 |
5
0
2.02.0
0
9.0 |
5
0
2.02.0
0
9.0 |0.690.69
833
 |
|
884
0
0
 |ncarleisu
4
 |
82
68
5
0.00
 |
6
1
2.50.0
0
9.5 |
6
1
2.50.0
0
9.5 |1.261.26
884
 |
|
931
0
0
 |claudeisu
3
 |
82
68
7
0.04
 |
6
1
1.51.6
0
10.1 |
6
1
1.51.6
0
10.1 |1.951.95
931
 |
|
980
0
0
 |meltonisu
4
 |
86
72
6
0.10
 |
2
3
2.04.0
0
11.0 |
2
3
2.04.0
0
11.0 |2.982.98
981
 |
|
980
0
0
 |rachelisu
4
 |
88
61
4
0.00
 |
0
8
3.00.0
0
11.0 |
0
8
3.00.0
0
11.0 |2.982.98
981
 |
|
1090
0
0
 |emilyeisu
3
 |
82
68
6
0.10
 |
6
1
2.04.0
0
13.0 |
6
1
2.04.0
0
13.0 |5.285.28
1095
 |
|
1157
0
0
 |shannrisu
3
 |
81
70
6
0.12
 |
7
1
2.04.6
0
14.6 |
7
1
2.04.6
0
14.6 |7.117.11
1157
 |
|
1168
0
0
 |esuessisu
4
 |
80
68
1
0.05
 |
8
1
4.52.0
0
15.5 |
8
1
4.52.0
0
15.5 |8.148.14
1173
 |
|
1168
0
0
 |krauelisu
4
 |
84
63
7
0.10
 |
4
6
1.54.0
0
15.5 |
4
6
1.54.0
0
15.5 |8.148.14
1173
 |
|
1200
0
0
 |bakleyisu
3
 |
83
66
3
0.14
 |
5
3
3.55.2
0
16.7 |
5
3
3.55.2
0
16.7 |9.529.52
1200
 |
|
1239
0
0
 |caseyzisu
4
 |
83
60
4
0.10
 |
5
9
3.04.0
0
21.0 |
5
9
3.04.0
0
21.0 |14.4514.45
1240
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |andersisu
4
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |chrisrisu
3
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |effertisu
4
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |kelleyisu
4
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |klewisisu
3
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |levinkisu
4
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |rach87isu
3
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
|
1266
0
0
 |sedigjisu
4
1
 |
83
65
4
0.21
C |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |
5
4
3.07.3
10
29.3 |23.9723.97
1266
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 88/69/10/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 85/65/20/0.00
Day 2 : 87/65/17/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 84/65/17/0.51
Day 3 : 77/56/11/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 84/65/15/0.00
Day 4 : 80/53/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/67/14/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 8.40 Consensus Standard Deviation: 8.72|
| Leaderboard : Cat 0 ( NA ) No Cat 0 Forecasters |
| Cat 1 ( 3.0 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 6.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 3.5 )mairah (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 6.0 )alliss (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |