|
Local Results for Jacksonville, FL Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (80°F) Min: (53°F) Wind (11 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 36
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 33.2 )jedmon (isu) jsch78 (isu) sciguy (isu) melton (isu) bakley (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 2.0 )prenti (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 94 )emilye (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -697 )jedmon (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
70
59
-11
 |USL22Zxxx
8
 |
82
53
9
0.00
 |
2
0
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
7
4
3.00.4
0
14.4 |-4.49-4.49
70
 |
|
263
121
-142
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
82
56
9
0.00
 |
2
3
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
8
8
3.00.0
0
19.0 |-2.41-2.41
263
 |
|
290
360
70
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
81
53
7
0.00
 |
1
0
2.00.0
0
3.0 |
4
4
9.51.6
0
19.1 |-2.36-2.36
290
 |
|
621
402
-219
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
85
51
8
0.00
 |
5
2
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
10
9
6.00.4
0
25.4 |0.500.50
621
 |
|
730
728
-2
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
52
8
0.00
 |
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
13
9
6.00.8
0
28.8 |2.042.04
730
 |
|
764
859
95
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
81
54
6
0.00
 |
1
1
2.50.0
0
4.5 |
6
7
10.56.4
0
29.9 |2.542.54
764
 |
|
1026
1113
87
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
77
56
11
0.00
 |
3
3
0.00.0
0
6.0 |
15
22
7.50.0
0
44.5 |9.179.17
1027
 |
|
1182
1153
-29
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
82
64
4
0.00
 |
2
11
3.50.0
0
16.5 |
17
24
16.50.0
0
57.5 |15.0715.07
1182
 |
|
1346
1326
-20
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
82
64
4
0.19
 |
2
11
3.56.7
0
23.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
0
85.2 |27.6427.64
1346
 |
|
572
573
1
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
81
56
9
0.00
 |
1
3
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
8
7
6.52.8
0
24.3 |0.000.00
572
 |
|
636
568
-68
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
81
57
8
0.00
 |
1
4
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
8
9
7.51.2
0
25.7 |0.640.64
636
 |
|
19
19
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
82
53
11
0.00
 |
2
0
0.00.0
0
2.0 |
6
3
2.50.0
0
11.5 |-5.81-5.81
19
 |
|
83
46
-37
 |billgaisu
1
 |
82
52
9
0.00
 |
2
1
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
7
4
4.00.0
0
15.0 |-4.22-4.22
83
 |
|
117
121
4
 |allissisu
4
 |
82
53
9
0.00
 |
2
0
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
8
2
6.00.0
0
16.0 |-3.77-3.77
117
 |
|
300
291
-9
 |bschweisu
3
 |
82
54
9
0.00
 |
2
1
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
7
5
7.50.0
0
19.5 |-2.18-2.18
300
 |
|
388
373
-15
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
82
52
8
0.00
 |
2
1
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
8
5
8.00.0
0
21.0 |-1.50-1.50
388
 |
|
439
441
2
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
82
51
10
0.00
 |
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
7
9
5.00.8
0
21.8 |-1.13-1.13
439
 |
|
482
252
-230
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
82
57
8
0.00
 |
2
4
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
11
8
3.50.0
0
22.5 |-0.82-0.82
482
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
600
598
-2
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
80
57
9
0.00
 |
0
4
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
10
9
6.00.0
0
25.0 |0.320.32
601
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
642
481
-161
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
78
59
11
0.00
 |
2
6
0.00.0
0
8.0 |
10
10
6.00.0
0
26.0 |0.770.77
642
 |
|
675
674
-1
 |mphoffisu
3
 |
80
57
8
0.00
 |
0
4
1.50.0
0
5.5 |
9
12
6.00.0
0
27.0 |1.231.23
675
 |
|
687
598
-89
 |pattonisu
2
 |
83
56
8
0.00
 |
3
3
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
8
12
7.50.0
0
27.5 |1.451.45
687
 |
|
733
674
-59
 |schaffisu
2
 |
82
58
10
0.00
 |
2
5
0.50.0
0
7.5 |
11
12
6.00.0
0
29.0 |2.132.13
733
 |
|
760
691
-69
 |claudeisu
3
 |
82
58
9
0.00
 |
2
5
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
11
12
5.01.6
0
29.6 |2.412.41
760
 |
|
844
917
73
 |ncarleisu
4
 |
81
56
7
0.00
 |
1
3
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
12
13
8.00.0
0
33.0 |3.953.95
844
 |
|
851
752
-99
 |mairahisu
3
 |
82
60
8
0.00
 |
2
7
1.50.0
0
10.5 |
9
16
8.50.0
0
33.5 |4.184.18
851
 |
|
901
942
41
 |shannrisu
3
 |
82
57
7
0.00
 |
2
4
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
11
10
10.04.6
0
35.6 |5.135.13
901
 |
|
914
917
3
 |exa986isu
3
 |
83
59
10
0.00
 |
3
6
0.50.0
0
9.5 |
14
17
5.50.0
0
36.5 |5.545.54
915
 |
|
965
935
-30
 |krauelisu
4
 |
82
61
6
0.00
 |
2
8
2.50.0
0
12.5 |
11
17
8.04.0
0
40.0 |7.137.13
965
 |
|
984
947
-37
 |logankisu
3
 |
81
61
3
0.00
 |
1
8
4.00.0
0
13.0 |
12
14
13.02.0
0
41.0 |7.587.58
984
 |
|
1102
405
-697
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
11
13
9.56.7
10
50.2 |11.7611.76
1102
 |
|
1131
1125
-6
 |esuessisu
4
 |
82
64
9
0.00
 |
2
11
1.00.0
0
14.0 |
18
24
9.02.0
0
53.0 |13.0313.03
1133
 |
|
1152
1138
-14
 |rachelisu
4
 |
79
63
4
0.00
 |
1
10
3.50.0
0
14.5 |
9
29
16.50.0
0
54.5 |13.7113.71
1153
 |
|
1181
797
-384
 |jsch78isu
3
1
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
10
23
7.56.7
10
57.2 |14.9314.93
1181
 |
|
1198
1234
36
 |effertisu
4
1
 |
82
58
5
0.00
 |
2
5
3.00.0
0
10.0 |
13
16
12.57.3
10
58.8 |15.6615.66
1198
 |
|
1208
897
-311
 |sciguyisu
3
1
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
13
19
9.08.7
10
59.7 |16.0716.07
1208
 |
|
1211
1305
94
 |emilyeisu
3
1
 |
82
51
10
0.00
 |
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
15
15
9.510.7
10
60.2 |16.3016.30
1211
 |
|
1219
1249
30
 |caseyzisu
4
 |
79
60
5
0.00
 |
1
7
3.00.0
0
11.0 |
15
27
15.04.0
0
61.0 |16.6616.66
1219
 |
|
1257
1050
-207
 |meltonisu
4
1
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
15
16
13.512.3
10
66.8 |19.2919.29
1257
 |
|
1269
1283
14
 |rach87isu
3
1
 |
83
63
5
0.00
 |
3
10
3.00.0
0
16.0 |
14
25
13.07.3
10
69.3 |20.4320.43
1269
 |
|
1278
1097
-181
 |bakleyisu
3
1
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
18
16
14.511.9
10
70.4 |20.9320.93
1278
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |andersisu
4
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |chrisrisu
3
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |kelleyisu
4
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |klewisisu
3
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |levinkisu
4
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
|
1380
1373
-7
 |sedigjisu
4
4
 |
82
64
4
0.19
C |
2
11
3.56.7
10
33.2 |
17
24
16.527.7
40
125.2 |45.8045.80
1381
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 88/69/10/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 85/65/20/0.00
Day 2 : 87/65/17/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 84/65/17/0.51
Day 3 : 77/56/11/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 84/65/15/0.00
Day 4 : 80/53/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/67/14/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 24.30 Consensus Standard Deviation: 22.03|
| Leaderboard : Cat 0 ( NA ) No Cat 0 Forecasters |
| Cat 1 ( 15.0 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 21.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 11.5 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 16.0 )alliss (isu) |
|
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 |