|
Local Results for Jacksonville, FL Day 5 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (85°F) Min: (65°F) Wind (20 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 5|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 36
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 23.5 )logank (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 6.8 )prenti (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 212 )adeppe (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -114 )alliss (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 5 Forecast
|
Day 5 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
24
70
46
 |USL22Zxxx
8
 |
83
67
18
0.03
 |
2
2
1.01.2
0
6.2 |
9
6
4.01.6
0
20.6 |-6.98-6.98
24
 |
|
137
263
126
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
83
68
17
0.01
 |
2
3
1.50.4
0
6.9 |
10
11
4.50.4
0
25.9 |-4.83-4.83
137
 |
|
416
290
-126
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
80
70
13
0.00
 |
5
5
3.50.0
0
13.5 |
9
9
13.01.6
0
32.6 |-2.11-2.11
416
 |
|
518
621
103
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
81
69
16
0.00
 |
4
4
2.00.0
0
10.0 |
14
13
8.00.4
0
35.4 |-0.97-0.97
518
 |
|
673
730
57
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
82
68
14
0.06
 |
3
3
3.02.4
0
11.4 |
16
12
9.03.2
0
40.2 |0.970.97
673
 |
|
747
764
17
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
81
70
13
0.01
 |
4
5
3.50.4
0
12.9 |
10
12
14.06.8
0
42.8 |2.032.03
747
 |
|
900
1026
126
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
83
69
19
0.00
 |
2
4
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
17
26
8.00.0
0
51.0 |5.365.36
901
 |
|
1146
1182
36
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
81
63
4
0.00
 |
4
2
8.00.0
0
14.0 |
21
26
24.50.0
0
71.5 |13.6813.68
1146
 |
|
1336
1346
10
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
81
63
4
0.16
 |
4
2
8.05.8
0
19.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
0
105.0 |27.2727.27
1336
 |
|
600
572
-28
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
81
70
15
0.05
 |
4
5
2.52.0
0
13.5 |
12
12
9.04.8
0
37.8 |0.000.00
600
 |
|
673
636
-37
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
81
70
13
0.05
 |
4
5
3.52.0
0
14.5 |
12
14
11.03.2
0
40.2 |0.970.97
673
 |
|
5
19
14
 |prentiisu
3
 |
82
68
20
0.02
 |
3
3
0.00.8
0
6.8 |
9
6
2.50.8
0
18.3 |-7.91-7.91
5
 |
|
156
83
-73
 |billgaisu
1
 |
81
70
15
0.00
 |
4
5
2.50.0
0
11.5 |
11
9
6.50.0
0
26.5 |-4.59-4.59
156
 |
|
231
117
-114
 |allissisu
4
 |
80
71
17
0.00
 |
5
6
1.50.0
0
12.5 |
13
8
7.50.0
0
28.5 |-3.77-3.77
231
 |
|
270
482
212
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
82
69
20
0.00
 |
3
4
0.00.0
0
7.0 |
14
12
3.50.0
0
29.5 |-3.37-3.37
270
 |
|
270
300
30
 |bschweisu
3
 |
82
69
14
0.00
 |
3
4
3.00.0
0
10.0 |
10
9
10.50.0
0
29.5 |-3.37-3.37
270
 |
|
350
388
38
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
82
68
15
0.04
 |
3
3
2.51.6
0
10.1 |
11
8
10.51.6
0
31.1 |-2.72-2.72
351
 |
|
426
439
13
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
82
69
15
0.04
 |
3
4
2.51.6
0
11.1 |
10
13
7.52.4
0
32.9 |-1.99-1.99
426
 |
|
575
600
25
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
80
70
16
0.00
 |
5
5
2.00.0
0
12.0 |
15
14
8.00.0
0
37.0 |-0.32-0.32
575
 |
|
593
642
49
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
81
70
16
0.01
 |
4
5
2.00.4
0
11.4 |
14
15
8.00.4
0
37.4 |-0.16-0.16
593
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
648
675
27
 |mphoffisu
3
 |
81
72
17
0.00
 |
4
7
1.50.0
0
12.5 |
13
19
7.50.0
0
39.5 |0.690.69
648
 |
|
648
733
85
 |schaffisu
2
 |
81
69
15
0.00
 |
4
4
2.50.0
0
10.5 |
15
16
8.50.0
0
39.5 |0.690.69
648
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
753
851
98
 |mairahisu
3
 |
83
71
17
0.00
 |
2
6
1.50.0
0
9.5 |
11
22
10.00.0
0
43.0 |2.112.11
753
 |
|
772
687
-85
 |pattonisu
2
 |
81
71
15
0.10
 |
4
6
2.54.0
0
16.5 |
12
18
10.04.0
0
44.0 |2.522.52
772
 |
|
789
760
-29
 |claudeisu
3
 |
81
72
15
0.05
 |
4
7
2.52.0
0
15.5 |
15
19
7.53.6
0
45.1 |2.962.96
789
 |
|
813
914
101
 |exa986isu
3
 |
82
70
16
0.00
 |
3
5
2.00.0
0
10.0 |
17
22
7.50.0
0
46.5 |3.533.53
813
 |
|
883
844
-39
 |ncarleisu
4
 |
80
70
14
0.10
 |
5
5
3.04.0
0
17.0 |
17
18
11.04.0
0
50.0 |4.954.95
883
 |
|
908
965
57
 |krauelisu
4
 |
84
71
12
0.01
 |
1
6
4.00.4
0
11.4 |
12
23
12.04.4
0
51.4 |5.525.52
909
 |
|
914
901
-13
 |shannrisu
3
 |
81
72
13
0.05
 |
4
7
3.52.0
0
16.5 |
15
17
13.56.6
0
52.1 |5.805.80
914
 |
|
1071
1102
31
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
82
69
7
0.00
 |
3
4
6.50.0
0
13.5 |
14
17
16.06.7
10
63.7 |10.5110.51
1071
 |
|
1080
984
-96
 |logankisu
3
 |
81
72
9
0.20
 |
4
7
5.57.0
0
23.5 |
16
21
18.59.0
0
64.5 |10.8310.83
1080
 |
|
1083
1131
48
 |esuessisu
4
 |
81
68
13
0.03
 |
4
3
3.51.2
0
11.7 |
22
27
12.53.2
0
64.7 |10.9210.92
1083
 |
|
1149
1181
32
 |jsch78isu
3
1
 |
81
70
14
0.07
 |
4
5
3.02.8
0
14.8 |
14
28
10.59.5
10
72.0 |13.8813.88
1149
 |
|
1164
1211
47
 |emilyeisu
3
1
 |
80
70
18
0.06
 |
5
5
1.02.4
0
13.4 |
20
20
10.513.1
10
73.6 |14.5314.53
1164
 |
|
1168
1152
-16
 |rachelisu
4
 |
79
70
7
0.05
 |
6
5
6.52.0
0
19.5 |
15
34
23.02.0
0
74.0 |14.6914.69
1168
 |
|
1188
1198
10
 |effertisu
4
1
 |
83
70
6
0.10
 |
2
5
7.04.0
0
18.0 |
15
21
19.511.3
10
76.8 |15.8315.83
1189
 |
|
1213
1208
-5
 |sciguyisu
3
1
 |
80
72
10
0.08
 |
5
7
5.03.2
0
20.2 |
18
26
14.011.9
10
79.9 |17.0817.08
1213
 |
|
1228
1219
-9
 |caseyzisu
4
 |
77
69
8
0.10
 |
8
4
6.04.0
0
22.0 |
23
31
21.08.0
0
83.0 |18.3418.34
1228
 |
|
1233
1269
36
 |rach87isu
3
1
 |
83
71
8
0.00
 |
2
6
6.00.0
0
14.0 |
16
31
19.07.3
10
83.3 |18.4618.46
1234
 |
|
1245
1278
33
 |bakleyisu
3
1
 |
82
70
12
0.06
 |
3
5
4.02.4
0
14.4 |
21
21
18.514.3
10
84.8 |19.0719.07
1245
 |
|
1272
1257
-15
 |meltonisu
4
1
 |
82
70
10
0.30
 |
3
5
5.09.5
0
22.5 |
18
21
18.521.8
10
89.3 |20.9020.90
1272
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |andersisu
4
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |chrisrisu
3
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |kelleyisu
4
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |klewisisu
3
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |levinkisu
4
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
|
1392
1380
-12
 |sedigjisu
4
5
 |
81
63
4
0.16
C |
4
2
8.05.8
10
29.8 |
21
26
24.533.5
50
155.0 |47.5647.56
1392
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 88/69/10/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 85/65/20/0.00
Day 2 : 87/65/17/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 84/65/17/0.51
Day 3 : 77/56/11/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 84/65/15/0.00
Day 4 : 80/53/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/67/14/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 37.80 Consensus Standard Deviation: 24.64|
| Leaderboard : Cat 0 ( NA ) No Cat 0 Forecasters |
| Cat 1 ( 26.5 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 31.1 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 18.3 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 28.5 )alliss (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |