|
Local Results for Jacksonville, FL Day 8 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (85°F) Min: (67°F) Wind (14 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 8|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 36
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 30.2 )krauel (isu) jsch78 (isu) bakley (isu) melton (isu) rach87 (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.5 )bschwe (isu) dflory (isu) mphoff (isu) jedmon (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 109 )dflory (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -174 )krauel (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 8 Forecast
|
Day 8 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
211
89
-122
 |USL22Zxxx
8
 |
83
66
14
0.21
 |
2
1
0.07.3
0
10.3 |
20
9
8.023.7
0
60.7 |-3.81-3.81
211
 |
|
238
159
-79
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
84
65
12
0.12
 |
1
2
1.04.6
0
8.6 |
20
18
7.516.4
0
61.9 |-3.42-3.42
241
 |
|
693
587
-106
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
86
67
8
0.39
 |
1
0
3.011.3
0
15.3 |
22
19
17.024.9
0
82.9 |3.423.42
693
 |
|
740
601
-139
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
81
66
8
0.26
 |
4
1
3.08.7
0
16.7 |
16
15
24.030.2
0
85.2 |4.164.16
740
 |
|
755
810
55
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
66
7
0.02
 |
1
1
3.50.8
0
6.3 |
23
20
20.022.9
0
85.9 |4.394.39
755
 |
|
763
869
106
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
84
65
15
0.00
 |
1
2
0.50.0
0
3.5 |
19
29
11.027.2
0
86.2 |4.494.49
763
 |
|
774
741
-33
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
84
68
5
0.12
 |
1
1
4.54.6
0
11.1 |
15
22
27.522.4
0
86.9 |4.724.72
774
 |
|
1133
1151
18
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
80
62
4
0.00
 |
5
5
5.00.0
0
15.0 |
32
37
41.513.6
0
124.1 |16.8216.82
1133
 |
|
1294
1304
10
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
 |
5
5
5.05.2
0
20.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
0
162.5 |29.3129.31
1294
 |
|
513
534
21
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
84
67
10
0.09
 |
1
0
2.03.6
0
6.6 |
18
19
15.020.4
0
72.4 |0.000.00
513
 |
|
625
611
-14
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
84
68
8
0.13
 |
1
1
3.04.9
0
9.9 |
17
23
19.019.7
0
78.7 |2.052.05
626
 |
|
2
2
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
85
66
13
0.07
 |
0
1
0.52.8
0
4.3 |
11
12
5.017.2
0
45.2 |-8.85-8.85
2
 |
|
92
106
14
 |billgaisu
1
 |
84
66
10
0.02
 |
1
1
2.00.8
0
4.8 |
15
17
14.09.7
0
55.7 |-5.43-5.43
92
 |
|
192
256
64
 |bschweisu
3
 |
83
67
11
0.00
 |
2
0
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
18
15
16.011.3
0
60.3 |-3.94-3.94
192
 |
|
200
246
46
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
85
67
9
0.04
 |
0
0
2.51.6
0
4.1 |
18
21
10.511.0
0
60.5 |-3.87-3.87
200
 |
|
221
210
-11
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
84
67
8
0.05
 |
1
0
3.02.0
0
6.0 |
14
16
19.511.7
0
61.2 |-3.64-3.64
223
 |
|
259
285
26
 |allissisu
4
 |
84
66
8
0.00
 |
1
1
3.00.0
0
5.0 |
21
16
14.511.2
0
62.7 |-3.16-3.16
260
 |
|
281
216
-65
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
84
65
12
0.11
 |
1
2
1.04.3
0
8.3 |
14
21
10.518.3
0
63.8 |-2.80-2.80
281
 |
|
436
545
109
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
83
67
11
0.00
 |
2
0
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
22
23
13.511.1
0
69.6 |-0.91-0.91
437
 |
|
452
491
39
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
84
66
10
0.05
 |
1
1
2.02.0
0
6.0 |
18
26
13.512.7
0
70.2 |-0.72-0.72
452
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
513
592
79
 |schaffisu
2
 |
85
66
7
0.00
 |
0
1
3.50.0
0
4.5 |
19
26
17.59.9
0
72.4 |0.000.00
516
 |
|
577
675
98
 |mphoffisu
3
 |
85
66
9
0.00
 |
0
1
2.50.0
0
3.5 |
18
29
15.013.6
0
75.6 |1.041.04
577
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
632
684
52
 |mairahisu
3
 |
84
69
7
0.00
 |
1
2
3.50.0
0
6.5 |
17
33
18.510.6
0
79.1 |2.182.18
632
 |
|
663
711
48
 |ncarleisu
4
 |
85
68
9
0.10
 |
0
1
2.54.0
0
7.5 |
20
29
18.514.1
0
81.6 |2.992.99
664
 |
|
707
718
11
 |exa986isu
3
 |
86
68
8
0.11
 |
1
1
3.04.3
0
9.3 |
23
34
12.514.2
0
83.7 |3.683.68
708
 |
|
710
800
90
 |claudeisu
3
 |
84
66
9
0.00
 |
1
1
2.50.0
0
4.5 |
21
31
15.016.8
0
83.8 |3.713.71
711
 |
|
759
807
48
 |pattonisu
2
 |
85
65
5
0.00
 |
0
2
4.50.0
0
6.5 |
18
29
20.518.6
0
86.1 |4.464.46
759
 |
|
883
914
31
 |shannrisu
3
 |
84
66
6
0.08
 |
1
1
4.03.2
0
9.2 |
22
29
23.520.8
0
95.3 |7.457.45
884
 |
|
991
1085
94
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
85
68
9
0.00
 |
0
1
2.50.0
0
3.5 |
17
28
21.528.2
10
104.7 |10.5110.51
991
 |
|
1071
897
-174
 |krauelisu
4
1
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
21
34
20.030.2
10
115.2 |13.9213.92
1071
 |
|
1085
1070
-15
 |emilyeisu
3
1
 |
87
71
6
0.20
 |
2
4
4.07.0
0
17.0 |
25
32
21.528.4
10
116.9 |14.4814.48
1086
 |
|
1098
1062
-36
 |logankisu
3
 |
83
71
4
0.25
 |
2
4
5.08.5
0
19.5 |
20
38
33.027.6
0
118.6 |15.0315.03
1098
 |
|
1109
1149
40
 |caseyzisu
4
 |
84
70
7
0.10
 |
1
3
3.54.0
0
11.5 |
27
42
32.019.5
0
120.5 |15.6515.65
1109
 |
|
1114
984
-130
 |jsch78isu
3
2
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
22
39
18.521.8
20
121.3 |15.9115.91
1114
 |
|
1136
1131
-5
 |rachelisu
4
 |
83
70
4
0.25
 |
2
3
5.08.5
0
18.5 |
23
42
37.522.1
0
124.6 |16.9816.98
1137
 |
|
1171
1174
3
 |sciguyisu
3
1
 |
83
70
13
0.40
 |
2
3
0.511.5
0
17.0 |
26
43
16.533.9
10
129.4 |18.5418.54
1171
 |
|
1192
1161
-31
 |esuessisu
4
1
 |
83
72
9
0.50
 |
2
5
2.513.5
0
23.0 |
31
39
23.530.0
10
133.5 |19.8819.88
1192
 |
|
1222
1181
-41
 |effertisu
4
1
 |
83
68
6
0.95
 |
2
1
4.018.0
0
25.0 |
21
29
31.546.9
10
138.4 |21.4721.47
1222
 |
|
1257
1216
-41
 |bakleyisu
3
2
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
35
29.533.1
20
149.6 |25.1125.11
1257
 |
|
1268
1229
-39
 |meltonisu
4
2
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
24
37
33.537.6
20
152.1 |25.9325.93
1268
 |
|
1275
1237
-38
 |rach87isu
3
2
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
27
50
31.026.1
20
154.1 |26.5826.58
1275
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |andersisu
4
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |chrisrisu
3
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |kelleyisu
4
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |klewisisu
3
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |levinkisu
4
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
|
1397
1396
-1
 |sedigjisu
4
8
 |
80
62
4
0.14
C |
5
5
5.05.2
10
30.2 |
32
37
41.552.0
80
242.5 |55.3455.34
1397
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 88/69/10/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 85/65/20/0.00
Day 2 : 87/65/17/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 84/65/17/0.51
Day 3 : 77/56/11/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 84/65/15/0.00
Day 4 : 80/53/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/67/14/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 72.40 Consensus Standard Deviation: 30.74|
| Leaderboard : Cat 0 ( NA ) No Cat 0 Forecasters |
| Cat 1 ( 55.7 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 61.2 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 45.2 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 62.7 )alliss (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |